Paid Search Receiving its Due? – Part II

In Part I, we looked at two ways in which paid search may not be receiving its full credit – when lifetime customer value is not measured properly and when online sales tracking is not properly implemented in order to capture all PPC driven clicks.

In Part II, the focus becomes more complex because we dive into the dynamic elements that the advertiser needs to understand in order to correctly attribute the PPC click to a sale.

3. Your Cookie Window is Too Long or Too Short: Now this depends on your business model, the type of product that you sell, whether it is B2B or B2C, what the cost is etc etc. The important element to consider in allocating the appropriate cookie window is the length of your sales cycle – if you cookie window is too short, as in, it is set at 30 days but people take on average 50 days to make the purchase decision then not enough sales will be attributed to paid search and it will appear that your campaign is underperforming. On the other hand, if your cookie window is too long, you may then be attributing too much revenue to the PPC click, particularly if your selling cycle is short.

4. How is Multi-Channel Attribution Handled? Imagine someone who has never visited your website, clicks on a PPC driven keyword and lands on it. Then that person fulfils the desired conversion on the website. Thus, the keyword that was clicked on can be directly attributed to the conversion. That’s the simple version.

Most frequently though, searchers visit your website multiple times, via multiple channels – both offline and online. If this is the case and somebody visited your website through three different channels on three separate occasions, making a purchase on the fourth visit, which of the channels and which of the clicks should receive the revenue attribution?

  • The Last Click – This way you are in a sense disregarding the first three clicks and their marketing channels, which means that they are not receiving some percentage of due credit. This has to date been the most common form of attribution within paid search, wherein, no matter what the interaction of the searcher was prior to the purchase / conversion, it is the keyword directly prior to action that is given 100% credit for the conversion.
  • The First Click – Vice versa to last click, this model turns things around and ultimately says that no matter what happened after the first click, it is that first interaction with the website that is ultimately the most important. So, 100% attribution is allocated to the first click within the conversion window.
  • Linear Allocation – This method credits each touchpoint that led to the final conversion. If four visits were required to drive the conversion, each one is given equal credit for the conversion. Even though this may not be fundamentally the case, such equal attribution, at least this method recognises each touchpoint rather than dismissing them like last and first click do.
  • Weighted Allocation – This is the most complex of the models because it is in itself dynamic and unique to each business. This model takes into account all your marketing touchpoints and weights each touchpoint according to a statistically developed model to attribute revenue for the sale.

Most businesses will either be doing no attribution modelling at all, or they will focus on the first three, given their relative mathematical simplicity. In a perfect world, we would all be using some variation of the weighted model.

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Paid Search Receiving its Due? – Part I

Gone are the days when PPC was new, sexy and could do no wrong – in the wake of a crippling recession that continues to hold us in its grip in 2010, even online marketing programs are under greater scrutiny.

Clients are asking more tricky questions about their paid search programs in order to evaluate their performance. They are tinkering with sales data and trying to make the right attribution calls. The client is becoming more sophisticated and agencies need the intellectual property and arsenal to be able to provide the answer even before the question is posed.

But, are clients asking the right questions and drawing the right conclusions? Or, are they beating to death an excellent marketing medium by over-analysing data incorrectly and making bad business calls as a result, such as dropping PPC spend or pulling out altogether?

There are a number of factors, if not measured / addressed properly, which will significantly skew paid search results. We will explore four of these factors in  this two-part post:

1. Measuring Full Customer Value – When you get a paid search driven purchase, are you fully measuring the value of that purchase or are you selling PPC short? Beyond the immediate short-term benefit of a sale, there are long- term benefits that should not be overlooked:

  • Customer Lifetime Value: If you make monthly recurring revenue from a client, this should be factored into the sale and attributed to paid search. Certainly, recurring revenue will be a factor of attrition rate but perhaps estimate your average attrition rate and calculate the real lifetime value of a sale rather than just the initial value of the purchase. This will provide you with a much more accurate picture of sales margin.

Furthermore, depending on the type of business in which you operate, you may accrue the value of repeat purchases. If you run a solid business and happy customers return, the long term value of the paid search driven sale may far exceed the marketing cost to capture that initial sale.

  • Customer Referral Value: WOM (word-of-mouth) and direct referrals are incredibly valuable given their credibility. This is ‘free’ marketing that should not be overlooked!

2. Is Sales Tracking Fully Functional? Ironic, that with paid search the costs are completely transparent – we see all the costs incurred, but we don’t always see all the sales generated by PPC. This is for a plethora of reasons, some of which are simpler to solve than others:

Tracking code is incorrectly set up or the javascript is located in the footer so if a content heavy, image laden page takes a long time to load, the searcher may already have jumped to the next page before the tracking parameters have kicked in to record the searcher on that page. Searchers disable cookies making cookie tracking redundant or they use one machine for the initial search, only to make the purchase from another machine, at work, with a completely different IP address and a new cookie to track. Or if the cookie window is not long enough, the searcher comes back, via an organic click so the sale is not correctly attributed to PPC. The reasons are many, they are diverse and sometimes complicated – but it is important to know about them and try to fix them in order to minimise that margin of error.

In the next post we’ll dive a little bit more deeply into understanding cookie windows and multi-channel attribution.

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What’s the Point of PPC?

Perhaps shocking but true, is the fact that there are still brand / lead generation / marketing managers out there who have allocated a marketing budget to PPC spend, but they do not quite grasp its purpose. What seems to happen is that upper management has experience with the PPC medium and they understand the need to include it in the marketing mix. The message is thus communicated and the worker bees implement as instructed.

The Agency Experience

Imagine now that the marketing manager in question is tasked with working with a search marketing agency who is to manage the PPC strategy. If the marketing manager does not understand the purpose of PPC this creates a number of challenges in effectively working together:

- Goals & KPIs: It is difficult to tie a KPI to a marketing function that is not understood. Furthermore, unrealistic expectations may be created: if a realistic cost-per-conversion is $1,000 but the marketing manager arbitrarily sets $500 as the goal, they are setting up the agency to fail. Before business goals can be tied back to PPC, it is important to understand the role that PPC is expected to play relative to other marketing mediums. Reasonable expectations need to be created so that PPC is not treated as the online marketing panacea only to be dumped later when it fails to meet the unattainable success.

- Internal Infrastructure for Success: A significant challenge lies in working with a company / department that does not possess the internal infrastructure to measure the success of the PPC efforts. For example, if the agency is tasked with driving conversions from a landing page and number of conversions is a measured KPI at the end of the month, then it is essential that the marketing manager is able to provide feedback on the value of those conversions. Without this information, how is the agency to measure the value of their approach if they cannot ascertain whether conversions are driving sales?

- (They think) PPC is Not Working: Often, it appears that PPC is not given the credit that it is due because of a lack of understanding and poor tracking of revenue attribution. When the client sees that the PPC cost is rising but sales directly from the PPC click are low, they immediately assume that the expenditure is lost. Little thought is given to the fact that PPC may have been the searcher’s first click, but the sale came with the third click, pending further research and after an organic search for the brand name.

The branding effect of PPC is a value that appears to be frequently overlooked. There seems to be this unrealistic expectation that a PPC click (thus incurred cost) should result in some form of sale or conversion, and be directly attributable to that conversion. That would be ideal – in a perfect world. Perhaps the organic click was a result of the searcher seeing the PPC ad but choosing to click instead in the natural search results. Even though this human behaviour cannot be tracked, ultimately PPC deserves the credit.

Whenever starting to work with a client on a PPC project it is important to gauge their understanding of PPC in the marketing mix. By educating clients, right from the onset, this will create a much more productive and pleasant working relationship for both parties because the project is built on delivering realistic expectations. Do not assume that even though a PPC budget has been allocated, the person managing that budget is convinced of the necessity of that expenditure. You’d be surprised at how quickly that budget could dry up if expectations are not aligned.

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PPC Branded Sales Down?

PPC's not to blamePPC driven year-over-year branded sales are down – so the first natural recourse is to find someone to blame. Logical deduction would have it that it is the fault of whoever is managing the PPC campaign, because surely, if the PPC campaign was driving strong branded sales last year, well then, what has changed this year to lower those sales figures? Surely, it should just be identified and fixed.

This is, unfortunately, not quite that simple. It is difficult to exert a great measure of control over branded sales online – certainly, a branded PPC campaign can facilitate branded sales but it cannot be managed in the way that the competitive landscape is managed within non-branded terms.

Whether people are actually searching under a branded term is a function of the strength of the brand, word-of-mouth and offline brand building marketing efforts designed to drive branded online traffic. The branded PPC campaign may have been built, but certainly it does not mean they will come and it is not the role of the branded terms online to make them come.

Not PPC?! Who’s the Culprit?

There could be a number of contributing factors to lower PPC branded sales. You should explore as deeply as you can to determine the most logical answer to your particular business scenario.

-       Cannibalism: If you have affiliates, this would be the first place to take a careful dive and investigate whether affiliate sales have gone up while branded sales are down. As much as affiliates are commissioned to in the long term increase your business profits, affiliates are known to employ a number of less favourable tactics to increase their own sales and resultant commissions.

Are affiliates advertising under your brand name, mimicking your ad copy and even the look & feel of your site? If they are sneaky and advertising directly against you or outside of the hours on which you advertise under the brand name – this could well increase affiliate sales at the expense of your own.

It could also be another factor – if organic site sales are up on branded terms, then that’s a good thing – you’re saving money on PPC costs and getting more sales organically.

-       Offline Marketing is Down: If you’re not doing the same types of things that you were doing last year in other marketing channels this will have a very real affect on your branded PPC sales. Even if you cut those catalogue mail-outs by a few 1000 or cut a radio advertising segment, this could significantly impact your PPC sales. Fact is, the act of searching online is an intent driven activity. If people are not aware of your brand and not thinking about it – then, they’re not searching for it either.

-       Worldwide Economic Recession: If Average Order Value (AOV) has dropped, year-over-year, it may just be a sign of the times that your customers are making fewer orders at lower values that previously. There’s not much you can do about that.

-       Competitors Outdoing You: If a close competitor has ramped up their offline marketing efforts or is offering a significant promotion – this could very well be pulling away sales from your brand. You need to monitor competitor activity in order to be to retaliate accordingly.

Most of the factors that could contribute to lower PPC branded sales have very little to do with the actual PPC campaign itself. This is why you cannot manage a PPC campaign in a silo, you need to be aware of not only micro environmental factors but also the greater macro economy.

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My PPC Ad Position Has Moved, Again!

Angry SEM ClientThere’s a great deal of advice out there about selecting the right SEM agency so that your business reaps a positive return from the online marketing, but what about the SEM agency getting the perfect client?

As difficult as it can be for clients to work with agencies, there is a plethora of clients that give agencies significant headaches with continuous phone calls, repetitive questions and unrealistic expectations that impact the success of the project. Are you expecting your SEM agency to deliver PPC miracles on an unrealistic budget? Have you set SEO ranking expectations on an unrealistic timeline?

If you are one of those clients who constantly check their PPC sponsored listings, you should be aware of some of the factors that may affect your PPC ad positioning. So, before you pick up the telephone to scream at your SEM strategist because you typed in some important keywords but only the competitors’ ads come up, consider the dynamics that may affect your PPC ad position.

Performance of Your Ad, Relative to Search Query
The relative performance of the potential PPC ads that could be shown for each search query are dynamically evaluated by the search engines. What this means is that the performance of your ad will be measured against:

  • CTR of your ad relative to the specific search query – what is your historic click-through-rate for that ad variation?
  • The performance of competitive ads relative to yours for a search query – how well have your competitors’ ads performed relative to yours?
  • CTR performance for each keyword in your ad groups – what is your historic click-through-rate for individual keywords?

What you need to bear in mind is that each search query is dynamically evaluated, which means that if you type in a keyword for your business now and check the results, in all likelihood when you check that same keyword query in 5 minutes the ad positioning will be different. A number of elements interplay dynamically to determine the ad rank of each competitive ad vying for a ranking on a particular keyword.

Maximum Bid
Maximum bid is the single most influential factor under the advertiser’s control that drives ad positioning. If you would like your ad to be at the top of sponsored listings in the number 1 position, setting a high enough maximum bid on keywords can ensure this.

Why? Maximum bid and Quality Score are the elements of Ad Rank, i.e.:

Maximum Bid x Quality Score = Ad Rank

Of course ranking in the number 1 ad position just for the sake of being number 1 cannot even be considered a bidding strategy. Your ad positioning should be driven by business metrics such as desired maximum customer acquisition (CPA) and it should be within the limit of your maximum CPC. Simply bidding up for higher rank positions may very quickly render the PPC efforts unprofitable for your business.

So, if you are one of those clients that obsessively like to see their PPC ads in the 1st position on the SERPs, stay calm if you see your ad in the 3rd of 4th positions. This may be the optimal position for your ad based on driving the highest level of relevant traffic to your site, within budget and at an acceptable cost & conversion rate within your business model.

Geographic Targeting
Be mindful, that if a specific campaign is targeting a geographic region that lies beyond the physical location from which you are checking your ad positioning, it is a good thing if you do not see your ads appearing!

Specific geo-targeted campaigns allow for tighter location-based targeting of your market. For this type of PPC campaign to be successful, campaign settings need to be set up so as to minimise “leakage” of ads appearing in non-relevant geographic regions.

Dayparting by You & Your Competitors
Avoid embarrassment – if your target market is in the B2B buying space and your customers are known to be the most active during business hours, then give your search marketer credit if they are rotating ads during specific hours, instead of ‘freaking out’ because the ads are not showing at 7:00am.

Also, bear in mind that the dayparting bid strategies of your competitors will affect your positioning. If a few competitors, with higher bids start appearing at a set time while your ad is showing, it may serve to drop your ad rank positioning. The greater the number of advertisers competing for a keyword, the more variable ad positioning will be.

A/B Testing of Ads
If you are testing your ad variations, which you should be, invariably there will be a weaker ad and a stronger ad. The ad with the higher CTR and greater perceived relevance may then have a higher ad position than the other one. When you type in a search query into the search engine, you cannot control which ad will be shown for that query.

Nebulous Search Engines
The fact is that the search engines have their unique algorithms according to which they may practice random testing, ad rotation, algorithm adjustments and Quality Score allocations. Not everything affecting ad position fluctuation can be explained according to a checklist of possible causes. Sometimes, the cause of a rank drop is due to the cumulative effect of a number of elements, some of which the advertiser can influence and others over which the search engines maintain exclusive control.

So, before you pick up that phone, consider that your SEM agency’s time would be better spent managing these dynamic elements of your PPC campaign, rather than having to explain the fundamentals to you, again!

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